To our surprise, the US economy has not entered a recession over the past two years. This is not because a recession has been avoided altogether but because the current economic cycle has been ...
However, warning signs are mounting that suggest stocks may have come too far, too fast. For instance, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is sitting at its third-priciest reading in ...
Industry life cycle analysis is a key part of fundamental analysis that examines an industry’s current phase to project ...
The Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in 2024 reignited a debate familiar to investors: do easing cycles extend expansions or signal looming recession? With inflation still a threat, the Fed’s next move ...
Rising bond yields and fixed-income volatility will not break the current economic cycle or trigger a systemic crash in risk assets unless the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) breaches 5.5%, ...
As the U.S. economy shrinks, fears and predictions of a recession continue to grow. New Commerce Department data shows that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate of 0 ...
Business-cycle signals can inform ETF tilts, but on their own cannot reliably time markets. Sector and factor leadership has historically varied across cycles, with growth-focused leading in ...
As a proponent of the Austrian School of Economics, I fundamentally oppose state intervention in economic affairs, particularly the manipulation of interest rates by central banks. Before addressing ...
Canada's forex market operates within a framework dominated by commodity price relationships and close economic ties with the United States. The Canadian dollar's behavior reflects the country's ...
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In economics, one person's spending is another person's income. That single sentence is the foundation of almost everything that happens in a modern economy. Add credit to that equation (let people ...
Nick Gallo has been a financial content marketer and journalist for over six years. He has deep expertise in credit-related topics, including credit reports and scores, loans and credit cards, and ...