Polling data remained at issue after the recent Brazil, Serbia and Wisconsin elections markets were upset by supposed long ...

Election night showed how traders reacted in real time to midterm results, as trading activity surged and market prices ...

Voters, donors and media increasingly use the betting platforms Kalshi and Polymarket to forecast election outcomes. Critics warn of new risks to democracy.

Kalshi and Polymarket have handled nearly $1.36 billion in U.S. election-based trades since the start of the year. Here's what traders need to know going into Election Day.

Minnesota was the first state in the country to outlaw prediction markets, but big money is still being wagered on the election.

Prediction markets and pollsters both say Democrats are favored to take both the US House and Senate in the midterms. Prediction markets have been a little less certain about it, though traders' odds ...

WASHINGTON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Betting on US midterm elections has surged this year on Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction markets that rose ‌to prominence in 2024 when they bucked traditional opinion ...

Prediction markets' failure to call an LA primary correctly raised the possibility they can be manipulated to exaggerate the ...

Head of Data Science at VoteHub, said the Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton attracts a lot of attention not only in Texas.

It’s Election Day for the pivotal 2026 midterms that will determine control of U.S. Congress - and a bunch of people are ...

Applicants can seek funding for research into election market pricing, trading activity, polling accuracy, and other topics.